French petrochemicals output growth will slow in 2015 following a relatively strong year in 2014 due to poorer household consumption and sluggish export markets, according to BMI’s latest France Petrochemicals Report. While Total’s closure of 400,000tpa of ethylene capacity in 2015 is regarded as the final major plant closure over the medium-term, the reduction of capacity since the 2008 financial crisis means that in volume terms the industry is unlikely to return to its previous strength. After a stagnation of activity in 2013, European chemical production grew by 1.9% in 2014 with output set to rise by a further 2.0% in 2015. Growth slowed over 2014, reflecting a weak economic recovery and a weakening in demand from consumer industries. However, the structure of growth is changing with organic chemicals – including polymers and aromatics – growing very little in 2015, while inorganics take prominence.

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Table of Contents Industry View 7 SWOT 8 Political 10 Economic 11 Operational Risk 12 Industry Forecast 13 Table: France's Chemicals And Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2019 16 Macroeconomic Forecast 18 Economic Analysis 18 Table: GDP By Expenditure (France 2011-2019) 24 Industry Risk/Reward Ratings 25 Europe Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 25 Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) 28 France Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index 29 Market Overview 30 Table: French Chemical Industry Trends Value In EURbn 30 Industry Trends And Developments 33 Refining 33 Petrochemicals 34 Fertiliser 35 Company Profile 36 Arkema 36 Total 40 Table: Total financial results (EURbn) 42 Regional Overview 44 Europe Overview 44 Trouble In The East 46 Declining Capacities 47 Global Industry Overview 52 Outlook for 2015: Falling prices 52 Medium-term outlook 53 China versus the US: feedstock wars 55 Table: Top 10 Ethylene Producers, 2013 60 Global - Crude Oil, Refined Fuels And Natural Gas Prices, 10-year Forecasts 63 Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) 63 Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) 64 Demographic Forecast 66 Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025) 67 Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025) 67 Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025) 68 Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025) 68 Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025) 69 Glossary 71 Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms 71 Methodology 72 Industry Forecast Methodology 72 Risk/Reward Index Methodology 74 Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators 75 Table: Weighting Of Indicators 76

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List of Tables Table: France's Chemicals And Petrochemicals Sector, 2012-2019 Table: GDP By Expenditure (France 2011-2019) Table: European Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index (scores out of 100) Table: French Chemical Industry Trends Value In EURbn Table: Total financial results (EURbn) Table: Top 10 Ethylene Producers, 2013 Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2013-2018) Table: Energy Price Forecasts (Global 2019-2024) Table: Population Headline Indicators (France 1990-2025) Table: Key Population Ratios (France 1990-2025) Table: Urban/Rural Population & Life Expectancy (France 1990-2025) Table: Population By Age Group (France 1990-2025) Table: Population By Age Group % (France 1990-2025) Table: Glossary Of Petrochemicals Terms Table: Petrochemicals Risk/Reward Index Indicators Table: Weighting Of Indicators

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